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THREAT ANALYSIS- FTO/Cyber: Internationally Originated, Domestic “SWATTING” Fictitious Disasters/Incidents

Originally published at the National Security Policy and Analysis Organization (NSPAO) at American Public University.

Michael Prasad, MA, CEM®'s avatar
Michael Prasad, MA, CEM®
Nov 20, 2023
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(C) Barton Dunant - Used with Permission.

The National Security Policy and Analysis Organization (NSPAO) at American Public University facilitates critical engagement in national security, international affairs, and intelligence issues by engaging with national security experts, promoting an informed exchange of ideas to develop analytical skills, and produce meaningful analyses relevant to the defense community. The CEMIR provides Emergency Management Intelligence (EMINT) analysis to the NSPAO. This is one of those tradecraft pieces.


As part of a standard “SWOT” Analysis – Threats can produce obstacles to continuity of operations, generate political and governmental impacts, as well as cause adverse environmental, emotional and mental health effects. These threats can occur in every nation’s all-hazards Disaster Readiness (aka resiliency) - along the standard (and sometimes spiral) path of Protect/Prevent/Prepare, Respond, Recover and Mitigate – and those disaster readiness measures taken must include partnerships with other groups including potentially those in other countries. Currently there is a deficiency in operational communications up and down (and across) multiple and diverse levels of jurisdictions, along with a lack of collaboration and coordination – to and from the military and civilian intelligence agencies – which is specifically needed to assist U.S. state, local, tribal, and territorial (SLTT) law enforcement officials (LEOs) and Emergency Management practitioners (EMs) at all levels of government.

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